Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Literature Review: Expectancy Value as a Predictor of High School Performance

This review is on Jennifer Peterson and Janet Hyde's research study on the expectancy-value theory. 
 This study investigates self-perceived math ability, math utility value, and math interests from 5th grade through 10th grade.   They studied how these trends in math motivation changed over time, across gender, how they are related to one another, and if they had any correlation to high school math performance in 10th grade (Peterson, 2017, p. 442)
The research took place in Wisconsin and included 223 participants.  All participants were given 5 minutes to complete 17 math problems in the 5th grade to provide a base line for math performance.  They were also given three questionnaires to determine the level of self-perceived math ability, utility value, and math interest across 5th grade, 7th grade, and 9th grade.  When the participants entered 10th grade, they took a state standardized test in math to assess performance level.  (Peterson, 2017, p. 443) 

Results:  
Gender Differences:   The study found that self-perceived math ability in boys in 5th, 7th, and 9th grades correlated with 10th grade math performance, whereas self-perceived math ability in girls only correlated in 7th and 9th grade to 10th grade math performance. There was not a significant difference between boys and girls in overall math performance (Peterson,  2017,  p. 445).
Trends in math motivation overtime: Self-perceived math ability declined over time overall.  Participants with high self-perceived math ability in the 5th grade showed a steeper decrease in self-perceived ability than those who reported having a low self-perceived ability to begin with (Peterson, 2017, p. 447).  Although Math utility value declined over the years as well, it did not directly predict 5th grade math performance nor 10th grade math performance (Peterson, 2017, p 449) Math interest in 5th grade overall declined, however student's 10th grade math performance was correlated with math interest levels in 5th grade.  When comparing this with performance in 5th grade however, it was found that students with higher performance also showed higher interest, and therefore it may be the performance, not the interest that predicts 10th grade performance (Peterson, 2017,  p. 449)
How the trends relate to one another: All three trends in math motivation were positively associated with one another, meaning that as one declined, so did the others.  The other correlation is that those who had higher self-perceived math ability, math interest, and utility value scores in 5th grade showed a steeper decline across time.   The only trend that correlates with math performance in 10th grade is self-perceived math ability. For the students who actually showed an increase in self-perceived ability in 7th and 9th grades compared to  5th grade demonstrated greater math performance in 10th grade regardless of initial math performance in 5th grade (Peterson,  2017,  p. 451).  

Conclusion:  The researchers suggest that although all of the three trends in math correlate with one another, the most efficient predictor of future math performance is self-perceived math ability.  They argue that further studies are needed regarding interventions that target math ability could improve math performance through hard work and dedication (Peterson,  2017,  p. 452)


Implications for my study:
This study greatly reflects the interest of my current research by focusing on math motivation trends across important developmental years, as I am looking at math performance in middle school.  I did not find it surprising that there were no significant gender differences, as I have not observed many in my experience.  I understand that there are stereotypes concerning girls performance in math, and the only observation I have ever made is that girls who struggle in math tend to resist interventions more than boys.  I believe that this can definitely reflect the self-perceived math ability, however I also would argue that the concept of a growth mindset is a more precise term to focus on. 
I did find it surprising that although a high level in math interest correlated with future math performance, it cannot be considered a predictor of math performance because the students already had better performance in math (Peterson, 2017, p. 449).  That implies that increasing math interest at a Tier 2 level of intervention may not produce desired results and that it should not be the focus of my study.
The fact that the only significant predictor of future math performance regardless of initial math performance  is an increase in self-perceived math ability (Peterson , 2017,  p. 452), supports my mission to find methods to improve math performance in Tier 2 level intervention classes in the 7th and 8th grades.  This finding gives me a strategy to base my intervention on.  The students in my classes are labeled as Tier 2 level students because of low performance in math.  Increasing their self-perceived math ability could lead to improved math performance.  Based on the findings in this study, it could also increase their math interest and utility value indirectly, as there is a positive correlation between the three trends that are described in this study (Peterson 2017 p. 451)

I believe the next step for me is to research how a Growth Mindset approach towards math ability can successfully be implemented at a middle school level. 

References: 

           Petersen, J. L., & Hyde, J. S. (2017). Trajectories of self-perceived math ability, utility value and interest across middle school as predictors of high school math performance. Educational Psychology, 37(4), 438. doi:10.1080/01443410.2015.1076765


1 comment:

  1. Great organization in your review. I felt that your summaries were factual and accurate, as if I had read parts of the article myself. I think it is really interesting that students were seemingly able to accurately perceive their own math ability, as indicated by their performance. I wonder what other factors reflected their perceptions. I am curious to find out what other information you can uncover about the power of perception. I agree with your assessment of not focusing on meth interest, since it is not a predictor of performance. If changing a student’s interest level in math will not transfer to improve on their ability to perform in math, it should not be your focus. I admire your passion for your subject and your devotion to improving your students' performance in math. I feel that by middle school that students end up on two opposite sides of the spectrum of loving or hating math. Although interest in math is not your focus, it may be interesting to measure it as an indirect factor.

    I do suggest defining some of the vernacular used, that may not be common knowledge, such as math utility value. You may also want to give a background explanation of the expectancy-value theory at the beginning of your summary. Another suggestion is to have an active voice in some of your personal reflections. You have great ideas that should be mentioned straightforwardly, not in passive voice.

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